Boreal Summer Predictions for 2024

In Climate Futures, we’ve tried something new this year. Rather than comparing the seasonal predictions for the boreal summer to a normal period – which seems to be a very abstract concept to most people – we’ve compared it to the last nine years. When we include 2024, this gives us a nice 10-year periodFortsett å lese «Boreal Summer Predictions for 2024»

Annual cycle of East African rainfall

East Africa experiences several rainy seasons, depending on the geographical location. In the figure below, I have computed the long-term monthly mean rainfall for each month and divided this by the long-term monthly mean rainfall across all months. When the ratio is above 100% for a given month, it means that it rains more onFortsett å lese «Annual cycle of East African rainfall»

An atlas of seasonal correlations between El Niño and La Niña and temperature and precipitation

A collection of maps that show the correlation between El Niño and La Niña and global temperature and precipitation for each possible three-month period, starting with January–March and ending with December–February

ENSO precipitation maps

We will probably soon make our way out of an unusually long La Niña episode (2 years so far). During a La Niña spell, the ocean surface is colder than normal in a large part of the eastern tropical Pacific, starting off the coast of South America and stretching far out to the open ocean.Fortsett å lese «ENSO precipitation maps»